November 2, 2011
MF Global filed for bankruptcy this Monday (Nov. 31, 2011), primarily
because of losses caused by its bets in EU debts. It is the biggest failure by
a securities firm since Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for Chapter 11 in
September 2008.
Relevant investigation is still going on, and some details about the
European debt trade that destroyed MF Global are exposed gradually. Ms. Izabella
Kaminska, a financial journalist, has done a very good job at describing how
this trade works in her article MF
Global and the repo-to-maturity trade. And she called MF Global’s “repo-to-maturity”
laddered trades as an “overnight repo Black Swan” event.
Often in a traditional repo-to-maturity, when the bonds matured, the
purchaser of the repo bonds would receive the final payment directly from the
issuer of bonds. He would then net out the amount of the original repo loan
plus interest, and hand the rest of the payment over to MF Global. Because the
loans matured in 2012 and the European Financial Stability Facility was backing
them through that date, there really wasn’t much issuer risk involved. The only
real risk was contained in the contractual obligation on the part of MF Global
to provide additional collateral if the market value of the sovereign bonds dropped
by more than the original haircut prior to maturity. What happened here is that
MF Global’s regulators worried the firm didn’t have enough capital to meet
likely margin calls and demanded it raise more capital and disclose more about
the size of its positions. These disclosures worried the ratings agencies,
which downgraded the company. Which made the creditors demand more collateral. Senior
Editor Mr. John Carney from CNBC also gave a detailed analysis with this
process.
MF Global filed for Chapter 11 protection in the Southern District of
New York, leaving behind more than $2.2 billion in debt, held mostly by
JPMorgan Chase, with more than $1.2 billion in bonds, and Deutsche Bank with
about $1 billion. This breaking news may give the Street a hint that it would
better be more cautious when making decision involved with global investments,
since global opportunities also mean global risks that could be more
unpredictable and harder to manage.
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Lorena Li
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